If we are assuming Germany, Spain and Turkey are safe, along with the USA who are mathematically qualified, the top eight AAers for the Paris spots (1 per country) are:
Karimi (Kazakhstan) 83.232
Dolgopyat (Israel) 82.999
Artur Davtyan (Armenia) 82.032
Kovtun (Ukraine) 81.931
Schmidt (Netherlands) 81.831
Soares (Brazil) 81.064
Van den Keybus (Belgium) 80.798
Muntean (Romania) 80.665
Several of them still have a chance, theoretically at least, of team qualification. Karimi, Davtyan and Muntean don’t.
I think we can say Karimi, Dolgopyat and Davtyan are very likely to take AA spots.