Baku World Cup 2024, March 7-10 (Olympic Qualification)

[onodian]

Nemour is shaping up to be a contender of sorts for minor AA medals:



That beam isn't wowy, but very efficient and a couple of really nice series

 

[J175]

Parallel Bars

Angel Barajas 71 (16)
Jossimar Calvo 68 (18)
Rasuljon Abdurakhimov 66 (16) - will guarantee qualification with second in Doha
Mohamed Afify 49 (12) - must win in Doha
Cameron-Lie Bernard 41 (0) - must be at least second in Doha

One per country applies, so only one of the Colombians can make it. Calvo must win or finish second with Barajas not winning. The only result which could deny Colombia a spot is Bernard winning with Abdurakhimov second and Barajas fifth or lower, and that would cause a tiebreak between Bernard and Barajas.

 

[rlayt]

 

[rlayt]

 

[tempest]

Is 6.9 with credit for the skill with the half turn( I’m blanking on the name)

 

[onodian]

no I think that should bump her to 7.0 or 7.1?

Eta: I also don't think she deserves the credit tbh

 

[Denn]

MAG FX:

Standings and lowest scores in brackets:

Ryu Sunghyun 80
Yahor Sharamkou 50 (0)
Benjamin Osberger 48 (14)
Eddie Penev 45 (0)
Aurel Benovic 35 (3)
Yuri Guimaraes 25.5 (0)
Diorges Escobar 25 (0)
Clay Mason-Stephens 24 (0)

Ryu Sunghyun qualifies, and the South Korean men reach their maximum three individual spots.

Just looking at the points tally Osberger seems to be in a good position but he has limited room for improvement with scores of 14, 16 and 18. Even if he wins in Doha he'd only have 64 points and be relying on low scores for others.

Penev's points are from 2 events, right? So if he goes to Doha and medals, he's in good shape?

 

[tempest]

no I think that should bump her to 7.0 or 7.1?

Eta: I also don't think she deserves the credit tbh

It is so interesting to me that the skill gets downgraded to the skill without the half term however it’s still satisfies the grip requirements

 

[onodian]

wouldn't the ezhova satisfy the grip requirement anyways?

Imagine if she had to do an orphan 1/2 turn at the end of that routine. I'd cry

 

[RedBirdie]

It's early and I'm trying to do math in my head, so this might be wrong. But I believe Nina and Charlize Moerz clinched Paris spot.

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

It's early and I'm trying to do math in my head, so this might be wrong. But I believe Nina and Charlize Moerz clinched Paris spot.

You're right. Nina secured hers after the qualifying round here, so she was the first WAG through via this route. Charlize after today's result.

So that leaves the women with two bars, one beam and one floor still available. The next question is how many of the athletes who are already qualified or mathematically eliminated decide not to bother with Doha on that basis. I saw speculation that Nina might not, which makes sense. It's considerable disruption and she clearly doesn't need any more competition experience with that beam routine.

 

[Concorde]

wouldn't the ezhova satisfy the grip requirement anyways?

Correct, Nemour is satisfying the grip requirement via the Ezhova and not the Derwael - Fenton, even if the 1/2 turn is credited.

 

[J175]

It's early and I'm trying to do math in my head, so this might be wrong. But I believe Nina and Charlize Moerz clinched Paris spot.

Derwael had already done it after qualifying, Moerz has joined her today.

Beam:

30 points to Derwael, 25 to Ting.

Nina Derwael 90
Ting Hua-Tien 49 (25+16+8)
Jennifer Williams 41 (25+16)
Laura Casabuena 36
Yelyzaveta Hubareva 28
Aida Bauyrzhanova 26
Tina Zelcic 26
Emma Malabuyo 20
Lai Pin-Ju 20

Derwael and Ting are the only gymnasts with points from all three events.

If Ting drops her 8 points from Cairo then she would be in the same position as Williams, 41 points plus whatever she scores in Doha. Ting and Williams will both qualify if they take 30 points in Doha. A bit of a complication here is that Williams and Casabuena (and Malabuyo) are still in contention on other apparatus.

 

[blake]

@J175 Casabuena needs to place top 2 on floor in Doha and for Malabuyo to not attend in order to earn a spot, is my math correct?

 

[J175]

Floor:

That's a good score for Moerz. Certainly the best of the series by any of the gymnasts eligible for the Olympic spots, and she has now qualified for Paris.

Charlize Moerz 80 - qualified
Emma Malabuyo 69 - will guarantee qualification with second in Doha
Laura Casabuena 45 - must finish at least second in Doha
Sevgi Kayisoglu 43 - must win in Doha

Erika Pinxten, who missed this event with injury, is now eliminated from qualification on any apparatus. She could still finish second in the rankings on beam, but it's one per country and she can't catch Derwael.

 

[J175]

@J175 Casabuena needs to place top 2 on floor in Doha and for Malabuyo to not attend in order to earn a spot, is my math correct?

If Malabuyo doesn't go Casabuena needs to finish second yes. Unless Sevgi Kayisoglu wins, in which case Kayisoglu qualifies.

The problem for Malabuyo is her not being there increase the chances of those results happening. And if Moerz decides to skip Doha now she's already qualified that opens up the top points even more.

Penev's points are from 2 events, right? So if he goes to Doha and medals, he's in good shape?

Yes. He needs to beat Sharamkou by at least five points. If he scores 20 points or more Sharamkou is the only person who can beat him.

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

Doha is really close to Euros, which could make a difference. Doha is 17th to 20th April. MAG Euros are 24th to 28th, then WAG are 2nd to 5th May. It would be very tempting for the European athletes who don't need to be there to skip it. Asian Championships are 16th to 26th May, so there's more time for a rest inbetween.

 

[Denn]

Yes. He needs to beat Sharamkou by at least five points. If he scores 20 points or more Sharamkou is the only person who can beat him.

I'm crossing my fingers.

Lee Chih-Kai — what are his chances at this point after winning (tying for gold) this past weekend? I don't think I can take him not qualifying! i might die!

 

[irichluck21]

If I were Malabuyo I would get myself registered for Doha. She can withdrew if UCLA advances to nationals and need her.
However, chances are more likely UCLA will get eliminated at regionals.
So if they do, that frees up the weekend for Doha.

 

[J175]

Pommel Horse:

Abu Al Soud 73
Kurbanov 66 (30+20+16)
Lee 38 (30+8+0)

This is simple. Abu Al Soud has qualified. Lee must win with Kurbanov not improving his score at all (I think Kurbanov would win the tiebreak if they tied).

It was inevitable some world class pommels workers would miss out. There were four specialists from teams not qualified for Paris in the Worlds final last year, and that didn't include Kurbanov. Rings will be missing at least two Worlds finalists as well. There just aren't enough places at the Olympics for all the specialists in MAG. There are absolutely people who will miss out who could have contended for a medal in Paris.