I have a E 6.8 (Artistry 1) + D 5.5 = 12.3.
Without the fall, you could add 1.3 back, and maybe deduct 0.3 for a medium step. A 13.3 will likely not make EF. I had Thorsdottir on a 13.8. Chiles a 13.6. Shilese a 13.9. Jade a 13.5. I think the bubble is gonna be around 13.4-13.5 ish. Personally, I think the Chuso is a mistake and she should go back to the DLO. They tried it in podium, it didn’t pay off, and they should learn the lesson before it counts. It’s only worth an extra 2 tenths. Her DLO is a known commodity in the judging community. They only take 1 for legs, no height, no feet, no pike down, no chest. This new element is a huge risk for not a lot of payoff. Plus - landing the Chuso like that is exhausting and affects her ability to hit the DMT, as we saw here in PT.
I am sure Jess would be devastated to hit a routine and not make the final.
ETA: I also question the technique that they’ve had her learn. I would have favored a full-out style - which Jade and Rebeca both use. Set the skill first, get into the layout shape, then twist it. The technique of doing the full first, can cause the gymnast to chop the height (especially when nervous) which kills the set and results in a huge pike down, as we saw here (and also as we saw with Jen in Tokyo when they actually downgraded it to a Full In Pike).