Playing with scores, I think my order would be:
Vault: (Wong), Chiles, Jones, Carey
Bars: (Wong), Blakely, Chiles, Jones
Beam: (Jones), Wong, Chiles, Blakely
Floor: (Wong), Jones, Carey, Chiles
I think Wong’s chance at two vaults plus experience warrants putting her in there. She was only a half tenth behind Blakely. Carey has been the weakest of the team on bars. Beam is hard, as is floor, and my order is based on two things. First, it assumes that Wong will benefit greatly from her additional week of prep and that her mistakes night one were uncharacteristic. Second, Wong is the reigning world AA silver medalist and the top returning scorer with Russia out, and she did win Classics, so I think putting her in AA if she looks ready/good is a good choice. Carey only averaged 0.25 more than Wong on beam despite the good night one score.
BUT, and it’s a super duper important BUT, I think they have to look at training and podium training to really make the tough choices. All three of Blakely, Carey, and Wong make a case for AA. They each make a strong case for the events where I did not list them. Pardon my many edits to this paragraph, I scrambled sentences is previous edits.
Edit- Alternates! Zeiss edges Fatta here in my mind because neither were in the top three scores or averages on an event, and Zeiss is more consistent. Matthews didn’t even really make her case on beam, I don’t think, as she only averaged .15 better than Fatta.
Edit 2- I really wish they’d just let them all do AA