2024 Olympic Teams, Hopes and Predictions

[Aeris]

Very ready for the USA WAG team to be Simone Biles, Shilese Jones, Suni Lee, Gabby Douglas, Jordan Chiles.

I’m favoring Jordan over Jade/Josc for the VT+FX slot, she can beat them on execution and should have the tools to do a Cheng (and maybe bring the Amanar back). Suni will compliment her in the UB+BB slot.

Gabby is the big question mark, but she’s so talented, and I’m already sold with the pirouettes she gave us. Currently thinking of her as the 3rd AA in qualifying even if her Beam/Floor aren’t scoring too well, because she has to do Bars and should be able to bring back a solid DTY (unclear what Suni will be able to produce on VT+FX). In the team final she can do Vault instead of Shilese, creating a nice lineup of everyone doing either 2 or 3 events.

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For the Chinese WAG team it’s really hard to tell what kind of state everyone will be in, but I’m hoping for Du Siyu to keep doing the DTY she produced this year and upgrade on UB. That will make her the perfect compliment to Zhou Yaqin, replacing Huang Zhuofan. If everything else stays roughly equal, then it’s looking like Zhang Qingying will also be replaced by Zhang Jin.

Italy WAG without injury will surely be Alice D’Amato, Martina Maggio, Giorgia Villa, Manila Esposito, Asia D’Amato right? I’m sort of seeing a problem of Italy being too “samey” with their gymnasts though. They can put up 3 respectable DTY’s and other strong routines, but they don’t have any super high scoring routines, except for maybe Alice D’Amato doing her best possible UB.

 

[Beamer]

If Gabby and Suni make the team in addition to Simone and Shi, I’ll be thrilled.

I’m hoping Brazil WAG can medal again as a team.

Same for U.S. MAG.

 

[makam]

I’m calling my Olympic team:
Simone Biles
Shilese Jones
Jordan Chiles
Gabby Douglas
Joscelyn Roberson (unless Jade Carey paces herself back into contention)
Alternate: Leanne Wong (sorry, girl)

I can’t wait to see how far off I am!

 

[Suzzie]

I am interested to see how Gabby Douglas looks next year but for now I am being skeptical about her Olympic chances. The field in the USA is looking so strong for next year and I’m just not sure if Gabby can get herself into that mix with minimal competition experience this quad.

*I realize I may have a little recency bias because I started following elite gymnastics in 2017/18 so after Gabby retired (or so we thought!).

 

[RichardL]

I am loving the Jordan Chiles predictions in this thread but I’m going to curb my enthusiasm because Gabby Douglas is also being predicted after having shown one video of training on official equipment after 7 years of zero competition. But if she does show up, I trust her to be able to deliver. That gymnast would not sign up for a meet if she weren’t ready to win it (at least on her own terms). Also, Suni Lee has to be considered a beam and bars specialist at this point, and if she and Douglas are competing, I suspect they’ll be competing for the same spot. I don’t think we’ll get to see this historic team of three Olympic AA champions manifest unless Lee or Douglas regain the DTY, because the last two team finals have resulted in a withdrawal by a US gymnast, and it’s been demonstrated that a solid 2nd-tier AA gymnast on the team can sometimes be a necessary failsafe. (Wong’s self-destruction on beam today as evidence against my claim, but still.)

 

[jenifer9]

I am doubtful Sunisa Lee will be back to USA Olympic team strength by next year. Her kidney issues sound extremely serious. They’d have to be so much better controlled than what she currently describes in order for her to be relied on for the team, I think. (Nothing against Suni - she is one of my favourite gymnasts.)

 

[MaryClare]

I am doubtful Sunisa Lee will be back to USA Olympic team strength by next year. Her kidney issues sound extremely serious. They’d have to be so much better controlled than what she currently describes in order for her to be relied on for the team, I think. (Nothing against Suni - she is one of my favourite gymnasts.)

The article someone posted here recently revealed more about her kidney problems- she has incurable kidney disease

 

[JaJa]

The article someone posted here recently revealed more about her kidney problems- she has incurable kidney disease

Incurable doesn’t mean unmanageable, still I think it’s very unrealistic to predict Suni on the 2024 Olympic Team. Same for Gabby for different reasons.

 

[jenifer9]

Yes, based on both the article and the general vibe of what she’s shared previously, my guess would be that she continues her comeback for a while, possibly with some good domestic results on beam at least, but doesn’t make the Olympics. Elite training is such a lot to put any body through, let alone a chronically ill one. I hope she’s well supported if this is actually the beginning of the end of gymnastics, for her.

Skye’s chances should be better as a result, but if she’s perceived as inconsistent based on two consecutive Worlds with significant falls, that might be hard to overcome even with good domestic results next year.

 

[Kara]

Agreed about Suni, as unfortunate as it is, based on the most recent article, which implied she still basically has some form of swelling every day and the condition is rare with doctors not really even having a solid treatment plan, I can’t imagine that it would be worth the risk to put her on the team hoping she will have a good day. I also personally think the pressure of the Olympics and the desire to push through it would be detrimental to Suni’s physical and mental health. I hope she has a team of doctors and supporters that is helping her get through this safely, but after reading in the article that her medical team didn’t even do the most basic test to diagnose kidney issues until 2 weeks after her obvious symptoms appeared, I’m skeptical of that. Hopefully, her medical team in MN is more competent than the doctors at Auburn, and is looking out for Suni’s best interests, but after that article I don’t have much faith that she will be able to safely pursue another olympics.