Chusovitina will attempt to qualify to Los Angeles 2028!!, would be her 9th Olympics!

[QuietColours]

Looks like it’s probably a resi under, but darn near floor level at least (and no sense in training it on to competition surfaces this time of year). Very nice.

She really had me fooled with the retirement announcement this time…

 

[Doug1233]

How old would she be in Paris?

 

[QuietColours]

49

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

We need to work out what her qualification path would be.

For 2022 worlds, there are 49 AA spots allocated from continental championships, I don’t know how these are distributed, plus eight per event from the apparatus world cup series. I’d imagine she would go for the latter, and can’t see there being eight from otherwise unqualified teams. So that looks safe enough. Not sure how this works for 2023 and 2024 though, I’m still in Tokyo qualification headspace.

 

[Doug1233]

can’t see there being eight from otherwise unqualified teams.

Given that half the EF was from otherwise unqualified teams, I wouldn’t be 100% sure!

Although if she can Rudi and Tsuk 1.5 she will probably be ok.

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

In Tokyo? There’ll be over twice as many teams at 2022 worlds as there were at the Olympics. Brazil, South Korea and Mexico should all qualify full teams from their respective continental allocations. Looking at the last worlds, the only finalist there from a country who I wouldn’t expect to qualify a team to Liverpool is Ofir Netzer, and Chusovitina on most recent competitive evidence is better than her.

 

[Doug1233]

Oh right yea. I thought we were talking about Paris 2024?

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

No, I’m not too sure how that works yet. Not managed to get my head round anything past the basics of next year. Though even for that, I’m not sure what happens for a gymnast who would qualify both through the continental AA route and the top 8 apparatus route, which spot they get. I can’t think of anyone off the top of my head other than Steingruber, who’s retired, but there are bound to be some.

eta- I can’t find the procedures and don’t have the strength to search the FIG website, but found this brief explanation.

FIG Proposes Updated Olympic Qualification Process for 2024 Quad – What Does It Look Like?

We explain the proposed qualification system for the 2024 Olympic Games, using results from the 2020 quad as a case study.

thegymter.net

If accurate, that means there will be 13 WAG AA spots for Paris qualified from 2023 worlds and one AAer per continental championship. For EFs it’s one per event from worlds and two per event from the world cup series. I’m not sure how people qualify to 2023 worlds though, so that was probably no help at all.

 

[Doug1233]

So I guess 2022 doesn’t count for anything?

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

I think it counts for who can go to 2023 worlds.

 

[Jack]

The World Cup series seems like the best avenue for Paris. It’s 2 spots per apparatus, neither of which can come from an already qualified team.

Vault will most likely be the most competitive, but with reasonable difficulty, Chuso should be right at the top.

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

The World Cup series seems like the best avenue for Paris.

Looking that way. I can’t see that she’ll be the top AAer from an unqualified team at the Asian Games, and she was a long way off top 13 individual AA qualifiers in 2019, albeit she’d have been thereabouts without the fall. It’s very helpful for her that the individual apparatus spots are all only for gymnasts outside the top 12. Vault obviously is the most competitive, but otoh a lot of the gymnasts making vault finals from smaller programmes are quite useful AAers too? We really need to know what the priority list is, like what happens in an Alexa Moreno 2019 situation.

 

[irichluck21]

This graphic really puts her career in perspective.

Full article: https://themedalcount.com/2022/01/10/the-longevity-of-oksana-chusovitina-visualized/

 

[dweiss324]

Omg

 

[irichluck21]

Chusovitina Expected to Return in Doha

Eight-time Olympian Oksana Chusovitina is out of retirement and planning her return to competition at the world cup in Doha.

thegymter.net

She’s competing at the Doha World Cup.

 

[irichluck21]

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

And to keep this thread updated, winning the world cup vault series means she’s qualified for worlds. Uzbekistan aren’t going to qualify as a team, so the only question now is whether she qualifies as a vault specialist or has a go at the AA in the Asian Games.

Retirement indeed!

 

[irichluck21]

I assumed she would do AA at Asian Games but maybe I am wrong.
She had mentioned wanting to help her team win a medal.

A team medal is a hefty goal seeing as how China and Japan should be right up there. Though Japan did have multiple retirements so it might have effected their depth.

South Korea’s team is on the rise and I predict them to be a dark horse heading toward Paris. I think they can qualify a full team.

Uzbekistan could be 4th though as they have Chuso and a bunch of talented “newish” seniors in Anna Silnova (2005), Indira Ulmasova (2003), Anastasiya Miroshnichenko (2004), and of course Dildora Aripova (2004) who is strong on floor and could contend for Asian Games floor medal, maybe even gold.

It all depends if North Korea attends. They did in 2018 and based off of strong vaulting took the silver over Japan while South Korea imploded on beam and dropped 6 points from their total team score in TQ to place 4th.

So Uzbekistan might be able to qualify a full team to Worlds. It all depends on North Korea and their performance. They performed well in Jakarta to take the silver and many expected them to qualify a full team to Tokyo, but they bombed 2019 worlds to finish in 20th place, their team total was 5 points less than it was in Jakarta when they took silver.

If North Korea attends Asian Games then Uzbekistan would need help to finish top 4, as top 4 teams qualify to Worlds.
Uzbekistan could either be looking at a full team in Birmingham or just missing out.

Likely locked to Worlds: China, Japan, South Korea
Bubble: North Korea, Uzbekistan, Malaysia
Likely no chance at Worlds: India, Singapore, Taiwan, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Thailand, Vietnam
Unknown: Philippines 1. if they will field a full team 2. if Aleah Finnegan competes

 

[ArnoldRimmer]

I suppose there’s always the capacity for Asian continental qualification to throw a curveball when we never know if North Korea are going to turn up or not.

 

[Denn]

I can’t believe she is still going in 2022. Unbelievable.

Her son Alisher will be 23 this year, right? I mean, he could easily be a dad at this point. That would be awesome because then we could legit call her Grandma — not just figuratively.

This is back in 2016 when he was 17.