NCAA tricky geographical coincidence for 2025 regionals

[irichluck21]

Swapping 29 with 28 is better than 27 going to play in while 33 gets a bye.

 

[Regionals]

Maryland's second season high in a row just now at Temple moves them up to 31 in the daily rankings. They also have another meet this weekend.

They have 4 meets left- if they average 196.0 from the best three out of these last four meets, their NQS will rise above 196. It's still a big ask, but they're finally showing signs they may have it in them to make top 28.

Edited to add: Although, that would just raise another problem if both Maryland and Penn State are top 28. There aren't any "clean" solutions left.

 

[RedBirdie]

what the heck, a mid-day weekday meet? Completely missed it! Should have watched that instead of being in an infuriating work meeting.

 

[irichluck21]

Penn State
(1) Oklahoma
(8) Michigan State
(9) Georgia
(16) Arkansas
(17) Michigan **
(23) Ohio State**
(30) Maryland**
(35) Towson**

Washington
(2) LSU
(7) Missouri
(10) Kentucky
(15) Minnesota
(18) Denver
(21) Arizona
(26) Arizona State
(29) Illinois
(34) Central Michigan

Alabama
(3) Florida
(6) California
(12) Alabama (switched with Oregon State for hosting)
(14) Auburn
(19) NC State
(24) North Carolina
(27) Clemson **
(33) Iowa
(36) George Washington (Penn State is filled)

Utah
(4) UCLA
(5) Utah
(11) Oregon State
(13) Stanford
(20) Nebraska
(22) Southern Utah **
(28) Boise State **
(31) Utah State **
(32) BYU**

So teams 29-36 are all in play ins. Two swaps. Alabama and Oregon State for host reason. GWU goes to Alabama because no room in Penn State regional, and is the lowest ranked team.

 

[cuuf]

If that holds, the Utah regional looks pretty tough for that second spot to nationals, with Oregon State and Stanford licking their chops for UCLA or Utah to have an off day. Although it would have to be a cataclysmic day for Utah to not go through at home. Penn State could be interesting between Georgia and Michigan State, but I think an average Michigan State performance tops a solid Georgia performance.

 

[irichluck21]

Washington Regional is a doozy as well. Missouri, Kentucky, Minnesota, Denver, Arizona.

Florida-California at home with Alabama isn't a walk in the park.

 

[Regionals]

Lots of movement in rankings this weekend. The biggest headline IMO is that Iowa jumps all the way up to 28th on the strength of a 196.7 replacing a 195.0.

WVU’s second good score of the weekend moves them up to 34th. But Towson, down to 35th, is still in pretty good shape given the significant gap in NQS with 36th.

The battle for 36th should be exciting next weekend! Even Rutgers has entered the chat with the 3rd highest program score of all time today.

Interestingly, one of the programs that triggered this whole thread- GW- now looks likely to be out.

 

[RedBirdie]

GW missing out and WVU moving into the top 36 doesn't solve the regionals issue. West Virginia would be in the Penn State regional. Same with Rutgers. It's all such a hot mess because there are so many schools within 400 miles of state college. And then Michigan goes and makes it ever more complicated by failing to finish in the top 16 and be seeded, adding yet another team to the 400 miles radius picture.

And if that 400 miles really is radius, not just driving distance, I believe NC State and UNC might be just inside the circle. Fun times

 

[Regionals]

GW missing out and WVU moving into the top 36 doesn't solve the regionals issue. West Virginia would be in the Penn State regional. Same with Rutgers. It's all such a hot mess because there are so many schools within 400 miles of state college. And then Michigan goes and makes it ever more complicated by failing to finish in the top 16 and be seeded, adding yet another team to the 400 miles radius picture.

And if that 400 miles really is radius, not just driving distance, I believe NC State and UNC might be just inside the circle. Fun times

Right, given the impossibility, most people are predicting the last place team that should be going to Penn State will be sent to Alabama instead.

(NC programs are outside of 400 miles according to cgn)

It’s one team over, as of today, for the Penn State regional. But, yes, if Rutgers makes it to 36th, that’s 11 teams that should be at Penn State. The 2 extra teams to Alabama then?

Given Boise State’s geographic lock to Utah, there’s the possibility that if Iowa stays in the top 28, they’re still relegated to the play-in while Boise State avoids the play-in ranked 29th or lower.