Just because I get ADD tendencies I started looking at who was coming back next year for each nationals squad and then started looking at score contributors and who is leaving. This is the table I came up with:
Returning production is pretty self-explanatory. Senior loss impact is just a metric I created to try and capture how much the graduating seniors contributed to the score. I sorted from highest to lowest the % of production to team of each gymnast and then took the % of production from top gymnast and kept adding individual gymnasts production till it was over 50% of contribution to team. Then of those gymnasts what contribution percentage of the seniors contributed to that 50% total. So for example the top 4 gymnasts for Utah in terms of contribution, contributed 56% of total team production. Grace was the only senior and her contribution was 16% so 16/56 = 0.29.
Takeaways
| Returning Production | Senior Loss Impact | |
| Utah | 69% | 0.29 |
| OU | 64% | 0.34 |
| Mich State | 63% | 0.49 |
| Alabama | 63% | 0.49 |
| Florida | 61% | 0.48 |
| UCLA | 57% | 0.71 |
| Mizzou | 57% | 0.51 |
| LSU | 54% | 0.54 |
Returning production is pretty self-explanatory. Senior loss impact is just a metric I created to try and capture how much the graduating seniors contributed to the score. I sorted from highest to lowest the % of production to team of each gymnast and then took the % of production from top gymnast and kept adding individual gymnasts production till it was over 50% of contribution to team. Then of those gymnasts what contribution percentage of the seniors contributed to that 50% total. So for example the top 4 gymnasts for Utah in terms of contribution, contributed 56% of total team production. Grace was the only senior and her contribution was 16% so 16/56 = 0.29.
Takeaways
- UCLA really benefited from senior leadership, and if you consider Emily Lee and Jordan Chiles are technically seniors, but have one year eligibility left, it is a potential explanation at how well they were able to "lock-in" at nationals and not suffer the same fate as Utah and Mizzou with shakey final performances. But next year will be a challenge and a real measure of McDonalds impact.
- LSU had a window close on them. Their most productive gymnast was Chio so that is solace, but it will be difficult to repeat the last 2 year dominance. But they most certainly will be in the thick of things.
- Looks like OU is not going anywhere and with another top class coming in, they have to be the favorites again. But Utah and Mich State should expect to get back to nationals
- Alabama and Florida are kinda in the middle there, but Alabama benefited from hosting a regional if you look at their total production number, it is much lower than the top teams. Florida is more likely to return.
It's a good day.
