California women's gymnastics is not going to be cut unless multiple other teams are cut.
I can 100 % guarantee you that unless the law changes Cal women's gymnastics by itself is not going anywhere. Someone on this board could become the head coach and it would not be cut. In 2011, their coach probably really was worse than several people on this board, and Cal still couldn't successfully kill it off (although they tried).
Even cutting both men's and women's gymnastics will leave Cal out of compliance with Title lX.
Here's the math.
Cal has 30,820 students
Females make up 55.76 % of the student body and 48.75 % of varsity athletes
Males make up 44.24 % of the student body and 51.25 % of varsity athletes.
California is currently complying with Title lX via Prong 2 (history of expansion of women's sports - they added beach volleyball) and Prong 3 (full and affective accommodation of the interests and abilities of the underrepresented sex.
But...when an institution decides to cut a sport, they are no longer compliant with Prong 2 (cutting is the opposite of expanding) and Prong 3 (because they are creating unmet interest by eliminating a sport). The only Prong left is Prong 1 (substantial proportionality), so unless the institution ends up in a state of "substantial proportionality", they are in violation.
California can't just cut women's sport and call it a day. Not going to happen unless the law changes (which amazingly considering everything else this administration has done isn't even on the radar screen).
California is so far far from substantial proportionality that even cutting both men's and women's gymnastics won't even get them close to where they need to be to be compliant with Title lX.
The women would not have to depend on the Office of Civil Rights (which at this point probably would do nothing), but could go straight to Federal Court and get an injunction to stop the cut. They would succeed, which is why California isn't going to even try.
I just spoke with someone at Cal today, and they are actively interviewing for a men's coach to replace JT Okada. So that isn't going anywhere. Of course it's mostly donor funded so doesn't cost money and there will be a ton of really angry people who have been paying into it for years who will be really mad (not that this stopped them before with men's Rugby)
What could happen - California is in bad financial shape, and House is going to make that a lot worse. Cal also has a large number of varsity sports. The could cut a whole bunch of sports, but which ones go will depend on the position of all the other sports. Gymnastics is a popular one to get rid of because (among other things), they require specialized space and equipment that isn't used for much else but camps. But who knows what they will cut. Predicting that would require detailed knowledge of what's going on with all the other teams. Women's gymnastics gets on TV, and athletic departments like that.
Title lX law could change. I have heard nothing about any attempts now, but once teams start getting the ax because of House, things might change. Or they might not.
If that happens, it's going to be survival of the fittest. Demanding More may not be such a great strategy in the long run.